Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for TAUKTAE-21 in India, Pakistan from 14 May 2021 06:00 UTC to 18:00

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for TAUKTAE-21

in India, Pakistan

14 May 2021 18 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TAUKTAE-21 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Glide number:	TC-2021-000056-IND
Exposed countries	India, Pakistan
Exposed population	6.2 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	222 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.4 m (18 May 10:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)
Landfall	between 17 May 2021 18:00 - 18 May 2021 18:00 in India

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	204 km/h	1.5 m	n.a.	2.5
Overall	222 km/h	1.4 m	n.a.	2.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

204 km/h Current Max.

Up to 3.7 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	14 May 2021 06:00	204	44.6 million	4.1 million	India, Pakistan
2	14 May 2021 12:00	204	54.3 million	4.9 million	India, Pakistan
3	14 May 2021 18:00	204	35.5 million	3.7 million	India, Pakistan

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	14 May 2021 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	11.8 million people	11.6, 72.1
2	14 May 2021 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	9.5 million people	11.9, 72.2
3	14 May 2021 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	1.7 million people	12.1, 72.3
3	15 May 2021 06:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	3.2 million people	13.4, 72.4
3	15 May 2021 18:00	Category 1	130	no people	1.9 million people	14.7, 71.9
3	16 May 2021 06:00	Category 1	148	no people	9300 people	15.9, 71.2
3	16 May 2021 18:00	Category 2	176	no people	6.3 million people	17.3, 70.4
3	17 May 2021 18:00	Category 3	204	1.3 million people	27.7 million people	20.1, 68.9
3	18 May 2021 18:00	Category 1	148	3.2 million people	28.5 million people	23.2, 68.9	India
3	19 May 2021 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	25.9, 70.2	India, Pakistan

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
India
Pakistan

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Gujarat	India
Rajasthan	India
Sind	Pakistan

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Porbandar	Gujarat	India	City	140000 people
Bhuj	Gujarat	India	City	130000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Rudra Mata	BHJ	82	Civ.	Paved	Yes	8200
Raedhanpur		61				0

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Porbandar	INPBD	India
Dwarkar	INDWA	India
Okha	INOKH	India
Mandvi	INMDV	India
Jakhau	INJAK	India
Lakhpat		India

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

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StormSurge

1.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 1.5m in Madhi, India. This height is estimated for 18 May 2021 10:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (216 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 3 of 14 May 2021 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	18 May 2021 10:00	Madhi	India	1.5
	18 May 2021 09:00	Wadgam	India	1.5
	18 May 2021 09:00	Asarsa	India	1.4
	18 May 2021 10:00	Tankari	India	1.4
	18 May 2021 18:00	Tuna	India	1.3
	18 May 2021 09:00	Kambhat	India	1.3
	18 May 2021 09:00	Muler	India	1.3
	18 May 2021 09:00	Kavi	India	1.3
	18 May 2021 18:00	Navinal	India	1.3
	18 May 2021 09:00	Sarod	India	1.3
	18 May 2021 18:00	Jambura	India	1.2
	18 May 2021 09:00	Miyani	India	1.2
	18 May 2021 18:00	Suthri	India	1.2
	18 May 2021 09:00	Lamba	India	1.2
	18 May 2021 18:00	Mandvi	India	1.2
	18 May 2021 18:00	Mundra	India	1.2
	18 May 2021 11:00	Dwarka	India	1.1
	18 May 2021 18:00	Jhankhar	India	1.1
	18 May 2021 08:00	Dahej	India	1.1
	18 May 2021 08:00	Harinagar	India	1.1
	18 May 2021 08:00	Ghogha	India	1.1
	18 May 2021 10:00	Bhogat	India	1.1
	18 May 2021 18:00	Salaya	India	1.1
	18 May 2021 07:00	Adodar	India	1.1
	18 May 2021 07:00	Porbandar	India	1.1
	18 May 2021 18:00	Bhadia	India	1.0
	18 May 2021 08:00	Olpad	India	1.0
	18 May 2021 18:00	Sika	India	1.0
	18 May 2021 05:00	Shil	India	0.9
	18 May 2021 18:00	Aramda	India	0.9
	18 May 2021 05:00	Mahuva	India	0.9
	18 May 2021 07:00	Surat	India	0.9
	18 May 2021 07:00	Bhagva	India	0.9
	18 May 2021 06:00	Jalalpur	India	0.9
	18 May 2021 06:00	Mahuver	India	0.9
	18 May 2021 06:00	Kotada	India	0.9
	18 May 2021 06:00	Damka	India	0.9
	18 May 2021 04:00	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.9
	18 May 2021 04:00	Mangrol	India	0.8
	18 May 2021 07:00	Ratia	India	0.8
	18 May 2021 13:00	Gadechi	India	0.8
	18 May 2021 03:00	Jafarabad	India	0.8
	18 May 2021 06:00	Gorser	India	0.8
	18 May 2021 04:00	Chorwad	India	0.8
	18 May 2021 18:00	Okha	India	0.8
	18 May 2021 03:00	Rohisa	India	0.8
	18 May 2021 02:00	Dharabandar	India	0.7
	18 May 2021 02:00	Somnath	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 23:00	Delvada	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 23:00	Nawabandar	India	0.7
	18 May 2021 01:00	Lodhwa	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 23:00	Dangarvadi	India	0.7
	18 May 2021 04:00	Veraval	India	0.7
	18 May 2021 06:00	Daman	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 06:00	Udvada	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 18:00	Chudeswar	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 18:00	Navlakhi	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 02:00	Kodinar	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 01:00	Kotra Nes	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 05:00	Bordi	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 05:00	Umbargam	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 05:00	Maroli	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 05:00	Gholvad	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 05:00	Tarapur	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 05:00	Malyan	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 05:00	Sutrapada	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 04:00	Palghar	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 04:00	Mahim	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 05:00	Shirgaon	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 05:00	Boisar	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 02:00	Mumbai	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 02:00	Trombay	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 03:00	Nalasopara	India	0.4
	18 May 2021 03:00	Agashi	India	0.4
	18 May 2021 03:00	Dongri	India	0.4
	18 May 2021 03:00	Vasai	India	0.4
	14 May 2021 12:00	Manamelkudi	India	0.4
	14 May 2021 12:00	Ammapatam	India	0.4
	14 May 2021 21:00	Turavur	India	0.4
	18 May 2021 06:00	Mira Bhayandar	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 02:00	Payyoli	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 02:00	Quilandi	India	0.4
	18 May 2021 06:00	Navghar	India	0.4
	18 May 2021 02:00	Uran	India	0.4
	18 May 2021 02:00	Malad	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 02:00	Edakkad	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 02:00	Dharmadam	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 02:00	Tellicherry	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 02:00	Mahe	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 12:00	Bhatkal	India	0.4
	14 May 2021 12:00	Kottaippattanam	India	0.4
	18 May 2021 02:00	Asumumbay	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 02:00	Chirakkal	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 02:00	Valapattanam	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 02:00	Azhikkal	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 02:00	Cannanore	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 15:00	Belekeri	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 22:00	Alleppey	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 02:00	Mandve	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 00:00	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 02:00	Alibag	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 01:00	Murud	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 03:00	Bankot	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 03:00	Kelshi	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 01:00	Marmagao	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 01:00	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 03:00	Agacaim	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 20:00	Ankola	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 01:00	Revadanda	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 15:00	Shirali	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 21:00	Mattancheri	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 13:00	Tondi	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 15:00	Kankesanturai	Sri Lanka	0.3
	14 May 2021 15:00	Idaikkadu	Sri Lanka	0.3
	14 May 2021 15:00	Point Pedro	Sri Lanka	0.3
	14 May 2021 15:00	Ampan	Sri Lanka	0.3
	14 May 2021 15:00	Kurichchikadu	Sri Lanka	0.3
	14 May 2021 15:00	Kayts	Sri Lanka	0.3
	14 May 2021 15:00	Pooneryn	Sri Lanka	0.3
	17 May 2021 14:00	Srivardhan	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 17:00	Guhagar	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 17:00	Anjanwel	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 11:00	Devgarh	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 15:00	Gokarn	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 15:00	Kumta	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 02:00	Talakkolattur	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 17:00	Mirya	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 17:00	Ratnagiri	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 14:00	Adiura	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 11:00	Pural	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 06:00	Vengurla	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 06:00	Terekhol	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 06:00	Chopdem	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 15:00	Karwar	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 15:00	Bainduru	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 09:00	Ambalapulai	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 17:00	Jaigarh	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 11:00	Achra	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 06:00	Anjuna	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 23:00	Advota	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 23:00	Chaudi	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 23:00	Majali	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 15:00	Honavar	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 15:00	Manki	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 15:00	Mavalli	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 15:00	Chittadi	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 10:00	Kundapura	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 02:00	Tirurangadi	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 02:00	Tanur	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 17:00	Boria	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 17:00	Purnagad	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 02:00	Beypore	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 02:00	Chaliyam	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 22:00	Pappinivatti	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 17:00	Purangad	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 06:00	Madgaon	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 10:00	Udipi	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 10:00	Mulki	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 08:00	Manjeshwaram	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 04:00	Kasaragod	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 04:00	Bekal	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 03:00	Chervattur	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 03:00	Trikkaripur	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 02:00	Madayipara	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 02:00	Madayi	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 02:00	Kozhikode	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 02:00	Tanniyurnagaram	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 02:00	Chaughat	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 02:00	Talikkulam	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 11:00	Vijayadurg	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 10:00	Mangaluru	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 08:00	Kumbla	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 12:00	Cochin	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 11:00	Malvan	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 04:00	Nileshwar	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 02:00	Badagara	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 06:00	Panaji	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 23:00	Sadashivgarh	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 02:00	Kannapuram	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 02:00	Veliyangod	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 02:00	Kadikkad	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 22:00	Haripad	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 09:00	Kayankulam	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 09:00	Karunagapalli	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 02:00	Ponnani	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 02:00	Manattala	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 16:00	Delft Centre	Sri Lanka	0.2
	14 May 2021 10:00	Irumeni	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 09:00	Chavakkad	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 09:00	Guruvayur	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 10:00	Vijayapati	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:00	Vembar	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 09:00	Quilon	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:00	Thoothukkudi	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:00	Melmandai	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 15:00	Talaimannar	Sri Lanka	0.1
	14 May 2021 18:00	Periathullay	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 17:00	Kulasekharapatnam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 12:00	Kottapatnam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:00	Cape Comorin	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:00	Erukkandurai	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:00	Nizampatam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 09:00	Varkkallai	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 11:00	Karaikal	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 11:00	Accarapatam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 13:00	Anjengo	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 13:00	Thiruvananthapuram	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 09:00	Vilinjam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 09:00	Puvar	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:00	Agastiswaram	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 11:00	Tiruchendur	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 13:00	Ullapalem	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 13:00	Pakala	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 09:00	Taingapatam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 09:00	Kadiapattanam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 11:00	Nagappattinam	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.